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The Market Can Be Bipolar

by | Aug 3, 2020 | The Ship's Wheel


I was putting my 3-year-old to bed last night, and of course he did not want to go to sleep but it was his bedtime. 3-year-old children often do not know what they need and sometimes they cannot express what they want. Sometimes everything in life is great for them and they are happy and in an instant, they have temper tantrums and become unhappy. I realize it is my job as a parent to guide my child and keep him safe. Sometimes he does not like it, but it is for his own good and development for me to parent him and teach him right from wrong. I find that the stock market can be like a 3-year-old child.

The stock market has a mind of its own, just like a 3-year-old child. Often, the market will not do what you would like it to do. Often, the market goes up for no reason and goes down for no reason. Trying to figure out the market is like trying to dive into the brain of a 3-year-old. You cannot discipline the market or convince the market to go up or down. It will do what it wants on any given day for no reason. As investors, it is important to always have a strategy that is disciplined and defined. This will lead to success over time and it will eliminate many potential mistakes.

Mistakes happen often with investing, but there are ways to eliminate most of them. Flying by the seat of your pants is not an investment strategy. Listening to main-stream media or CNBC is not an investment strategy. Getting stock tips from your neighbor or friend is not an investment strategy. Investment strategies can take time to develop. Learning from our mistakes and not repeating them is a great way to start. We all hope our children do the same. One thing we all need to understand is that the market is going to do whatever it wants. It is up to us as investors to take what the market gives us and make educated decisions based on what may or may not happen. I think most investors are bearish right now and believe a major pull back is coming. If that is how you feel, then raising some cash is prudent. Just realize the market could move another 10 percent higher or more before that happens. Raising cash after the pullback makes little to no sense.

Educating our clients and developing an investment strategy specifically tailored to each of our clients is our focus at Chapman Capital Advisors. This does not happen overnight. It takes time to really get to know a client and how they react or feel during times of market volatility. Before hiring any Financial Advisor, do your due diligence. If there are any formal complaints against an advisor or settlements, they are fully disclosed on the FINRA.ORG website or the SEC.GOV website if the advisor is fee only.

Am I eligible to Convert my Traditional IRA to a Roth IRA?

Converting your Traditional IRA to a Roth IRA can be one of the best financial decisions made when saving for retirement if done correctly. Prior to 2010 there was an income limit that restricted the conversion to a Roth IRA if your (AGI) was over $100,000. As of 2013, the income limitation does not exist for a conversion, but it still exists for contributions. This does not mean it will not come back in the future, but for 2013 and beyond anyone can convert an existing Traditional IRA to a Roth IRA regardless of income.

For example, someone has a Traditional IRA with $350,000 invested, that IRA can be converted to a Roth and all the taxes need to be paid for the tax year the conversion was completed. After converting to a Roth, the money grows tax-free. Paying the taxes on this money now might sound like a tough pill to swallow, but the potential tax savings down the road can be significant. Wouldn’t you rather pay taxes on $350,000 now than pay taxes on $1,000,000 in the future? One of the keys to doing this correctly is paying the taxes with funds outside of a qualified plan. Paying the taxes with money from the IRA defeats the purpose and will negate the full tax saving potential.

This is just one example of completing a Roth conversion. You can do partial conversions as well. This means you do not have to convert the entire account. You could develop a strategy of doing partial Roth conversions over multiple years. The key is to consult with your tax advisor or accountant to make sure the conversion will not put you into another tax bracket. Every dollar you convert is taxed at your ordinary income tax rate. This strategy works best for younger investors who have longer to allow the money to grow and compound. It can also work well for an older investor who is in a low tax bracket. Another reason to convert to a Roth is that Roth IRAs are not subject to the Required Minimum Distribution after you reach age 73. For those of you out there that do not plan to use your IRA money to live this can be a huge advantage when it comes to passing along your IRA to your beneficiaries. Roth IRAs continue to grow tax-free after the conversion and after you die. There are distribution requirements for the beneficiaries, but the distributions are tax-free as well.
This strategy might not be right for everyone. I would advise you to consult with a Certified Financial Planner™ or your tax advisor prior to taking advantage of this potentially large tax savings. One of the best times to complete a Roth conversion is when the value of your Traditional IRA has fallen due to a market correction like we experienced in 2022. If you have questions on this article or would like to schedule a free financial review. Please contact Jay Chapman at 772-320-9658 or email [email protected].

Jay Chapman| CFP®

Jay Chapman| CFP®

Founder

Jay Chapman, CFP®, is founder of Chapman Capital Advisors, as a member of the advisory team. He has over 20 years of experience in the Financial Services industry.

Will Thompson | CFA®, CFP®, AIF®

Will Thompson | CFA®, CFP®, AIF®

Advisor

Will provides the in-house expertise of CFP®, CFA®, and AIF® that is uncommon for boutique firms.


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